CoinMeta data: According to 10x Research, crude oil has risen 37% since July, from $68.5 per barrel to $94. During this period, the Democratic Party's chances of victory in both the Senate and House increased from 42% to 61%. Brent crude oil rebounded to $97 on July 24, the US-Iran tanker attack occurred on September 5, and US gasoline prices reached $4.47 per gallon on September 22. Could energy become a deciding factor in the mid-term elections of 2026? The S&P 500 index has been consolidating over the past four months, with oil prices rising from $68 to $94, and the Democratic Party's chances of victory in November have increased to 61%. Nevertheless, cryptocurrency trading volume is on the rise. Since September FOMC, there has been a net inflow of $3 billion, and options traders are building large bullish positions for expiration on October 30. The presidential cycle suggests that a turning point may occur in about two weeks. This article will highlight important levels, the positioning of smart money, and why higher mortgage loan rates could be beneficial for cryptocurrencies.