According to CoinMeta, predictive market data shows that the implied probability of kalshi predicting Bitcoin to reach $100,000 by 2026 has dropped to 34%, from 46% on September 23. After Bitcoin fell below $83,000, the probability associated with that contract also decreased. polymarket estimates the probability of Bitcoin reaching $100,000 by December 31, 2026, at 34.5%, and the probability of reaching that level by March 31, 2027, at 50.5%.