Ethereum: Ethereum's upward trend slows down after reaching around $2,500
Cryptonews
08-26 04:52
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ETH has risen by about 30% in the past week, with spot ETF seeing a net inflow of $697 million in a single week. Resistance around $2,550 is being closely watched.
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以太坊在连续拉升后进入高位整理。8 月 25 日,ETH 一度升至 2532 美元,随后回落至 2478 美元附近,较 8 月 19 日开盘价仍高出约 29%。过去一周,ETH 从 1916 美元附近快速升破 2000、2200 和 2400 美元,结束了 8 月上旬的区间震荡。

ETF资金继续流入

这轮上涨并不只由杠杆交易推动。美国上市现货以太坊 ETF 在截至 8 月 21 日的五个交易日内录得 6.972 亿美元净流入,创下 2026 年以来最强单周表现,也是自 2025 年 10 月初以来的最佳成绩。

同期,美国现货比特币 ETF 吸引 19.18 亿美元净流入,两类产品合计吸金约 26 亿美元。资金持续流入,说明市场需求并未完全依赖短线衍生品交易。

清算推动突破后仍守住涨幅

ETH 此前的快速上冲,伴随着一轮大规模衍生品清算。CoinGlass 数据显示,加密市场 24 小时内空头损失接近 27 亿美元,总清算规模接近 30 亿美元,其中以太坊相关强平约为 11 亿美元。

空头回补放大了初段涨幅,但在清算高峰过去后,ETH 没有迅速回到突破前区间。自 8 月 22 日以来,价格大致维持在 2420 至 2530 美元之间,显示多头仍在守住大部分成果。

2550美元附近成短线焦点

从清算热力图看,2540 至 2570 美元上方聚集了较多杠杆仓位,2600 至 2630 美元一带也有后续流动性分布。这意味着,如果 ETH 继续上破 2550 美元,可能触发更多空头平仓,推动价格进一步测试 2600 美元,随后看向 2700 美元。

市场分析人士 Ted Pillows 将 2500 至 2550 美元视为主要阻力区。他认为,若周线收于这一区间上方,ETH 才更有机会继续上探 3000 美元。

技术指标显示短线偏热

日线层面,ETH 已站上 20 日、50 日、100 日和 200 日均线。其中,20 日均线约在 2079 美元,200 日均线约在 2013 美元,50 日均线约在 1950 美元,100 日均线接近 1877 美元。突破 200 日均线后,2000 至 2080 美元区域正逐步转为重要支撑带。

但短线动能已明显升温。ETH 日线 RSI 升至 79.12,处于常见超买区间上方,说明上涨动能仍强,同时也意味着高位获利了结压力正在增加。4 小时图上,约 2344 美元的 Supertrend 支撑位仍在发挥作用,若失守该位置,短线结构将明显转弱,下一步支撑将下移至 2200 美元,以及 2000 至 2080 美元一带。

整体来看,ETH 当前处在强势上涨后的整理阶段。ETF 资金流入和前期清算推动了行情扩展,但 2550 美元附近仍是决定短线方向的关键位置。

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