web3: Foreign media: Scaramucci says the bear market decline of Bitcoin is relatively mild
U.Today
7h ago
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Scaramucci believes that the decline in Bitcoin during this bear market cycle is shallower than in previous historical cycles, indicating that there is still buying support in the market, and prices may continue to fluctuate before the halving.
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外媒称,SkyBridge Capital 创始人 Anthony Scaramucci 认为,比特币虽然仍处熊市,但本轮回撤没有像以往周期那样深,这可能说明市场承接力仍然存在。

本轮回撤低于历史水平

Scaramucci 在 SALT Conference 旗下 Wyoming Blockchain Symposium 期间接受 CNBC 采访时表示,比特币本轮从高点回落约 55%。在他看来,这一跌幅仍属熊市,但明显低于过去常见的 75% 至 80%。

他认为,跌幅较浅未必是负面信号,反而可能说明市场中仍有净买盘,为下一轮上涨阶段保留了基础。

  • 本轮回撤约为 55%
  • 过往熊市常见跌幅约 75% 至 80%
  • 他将差异视为买盘仍在的迹象

资金转向 AI 与矿企调整

他还表示,比特币近一段时间价格波动有限,整体走势偏弱。按他的说法,自今年 2 月战争爆发以来,比特币价格大致仍停留在相近区间,市场持续横盘。

Scaramucci 将这种表现归因于几项因素,包括部分矿企把资源转向 AI 业务,以及部分资金从加密市场流向 AI 赛道,这不仅影响比特币,也拖累了其他代币表现。

减半前或维持缓慢震荡

他还把当前走势与比特币四年周期联系起来,称市场已进入通常较弱的阶段,而距离下一次减半大约还有 18 至 19 个月。

在他看来,减半后新增供应收紧,仍可能重新推动价格上行。他预计,比特币未来有机会再次升破 10 万美元,但在此之前,价格可能还会维持一段时间的缓慢震荡。

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