Minsheng Plus Bank Pay Yu: Long-term bond yields are already at historical lows, and duration is crowded
2026-11-10 19:56:48
According to CoinMeta, since the beginning of this year, the domestic bond market has been generally strong, and pure bond funds have performed steadily. Especially recently, with the stock market undergoing adjustments and interest rates continuing to decline, the performance of some pure bond funds has been even more prominent. Wind data shows that as of November 9th, the yield of a number of medium- to long-term pure bond funds such as Minsheng Jiayin Ruixia One-Year Fixed Open Bond and CITIC Prudential Wen Yue has risen above 10% this year, even surpassing that of many equity funds. Fu Yu, the fund manager of Minsheng Jiayin Ruixia One-Year Fixed Open Bond, stated that the fund's earnings come from local government bond coupons, interest rate bond duration trading, leverage arbitrage, and other opportunities in the yield curve. Fu Yu also noted that from the perspective of valuation and trading congestion, long-term bond yields are already at historical lows, and the duration is crowded, which means the risk-reward ratio has decreased. Once there are negative disruptions, volatility is likely to increase significantly. Overall, the long-term trend of the bond market is strong, but the rate of short-term increases may slow down, leading to more range-bound fluctuations and sideways movements, with opportunities for corrections. The cost-effectiveness of chasing high prices has diminished.
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Source:Jin10 Data
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