web3: Bitcoin mining companies' valuation rises after shifting to AI
CoinDesk
1h ago
Ai Focus
Bitcoin mining companies see increased valuation after switching to AI / HPC, while pure mining firms are still affected by declining hash prices.
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比特币矿企近年把电力与机房资源转向 AI 和高性能计算,回报正在资本市场上集中体现。CoinDesk 报道称,在比特币价格回落、挖矿收益承压的背景下,拿到 AI/HPC 合同的矿企,估值和收入预期都明显强于仍以纯挖矿为主的同行。

AI业务估值明显更高

报道援引数据称,聚焦 AI 与高性能计算的矿企,企业价值倍数约为 12.3 倍;纯比特币矿企约为 5.9 倍。过去一年,较早转向的 TerraWulf、IREN 和 Cipher Digital 股价均已翻倍以上。相比之下,向 AI 转型较慢的 MARA Holdings 同期下跌约 40%。

矿企之所以能切入 AI 基础设施,原因在于两类业务对能力要求接近。无论是挖矿还是 AI 计算,都依赖低成本电力、大规模机房,以及高效率设备运维能力。随着 AI 算力需求快速增长,这类基础设施的价值被重新定价。

纯挖矿业务利润继续受压

比特币价格在过去 8 个月累计下跌约 45%,直接压缩矿企利润空间。衡量挖矿收益的哈希价格也明显回落。去年 7 月,每 PH/s 的日收入约为 63 美元,如今已降至约 31.8 美元,几乎减半。

在收益下滑后,越来越多矿企关闭部分机器,行业进入更长时间的减产阶段。报道显示,比特币全网算力已从 1.14 ZH/s 降至 900 EH/s,降幅约 21%。这意味着部分高成本产能正在退出,纯挖矿公司的经营压力仍未缓解。

AI合同成为新的收入支点

市场对矿企的重新估值,主要来自长期 AI/HPC 合同带来的稳定现金流。报道提到,截至当季末,行业累计拿下的 AI 与高性能计算合同规模估计已达 700 亿美元。

其中,Riot Platforms 近期与 Anthropic 签署一份 20 年租赁协议,合同价值约 91 亿美元。随着类似交易增多,投资者更看重矿企掌握的电力、土地和数据中心资源,而不只是其比特币产量。

从当前行业表现看,矿企最有价值的资产不再只是挖出或持有多少比特币,而是能否控制稀缺电力和可扩展算力基础设施。如果 AI 需求继续维持高位,这种估值分化短期内仍可能持续;但若比特币挖矿收益回升,纯挖矿业务也可能重新获得支撑。

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