According to CoinMeta, the diesel trade proposal by Trump could inject approximately $4 billion into the Russian economy while putting pressure on Ukraine to stop refinery strikes, which could weaken Kiev's economic leverage over Moscow. Ukraine's sanctions have led to a 20% reduction in Russia's gasoline production, a nearly 30% decline in diesel production compared to 2025 levels, and oil tax revenues have decreased by nearly 17% year-on-year from January to August.