Bitcoin traders preparing for the Fed's interest rate hike; a surprise lack of hike could bring even greater risks
2026-09-16 19:05:17
CoinMeta data: Despite the market's expectation that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates on Wednesday, Bitcoin traders have not shown excessive panic. The market currently prices in a 92.5% probability that the Fed will raise rates for the first time in three years, due to strong employment data and stubborn inflation. Bitcoin has been trading between around $76,000 and $80,000 over the past 24 days, with volatility dropping to its lowest level in a month. Analyst Chris Sullivan stated that if the Fed does not raise rates, it could have a greater impact on the market. Research analyst Cooper Duschang pointed out that the Talos platform observed a net buying bias for stablecoins of 28% before the meeting. Compared to previous Fed meetings, investors usually show an 8% selling bias for stablecoins. Confidence in buying Bitcoin has dropped from 10% to 3%, and confidence in buying Ethereum has also fallen from 23% to 9%. Duschang indicates that investors seem to be reducing risk and maintaining greater liquidity. The key question on Wednesday is where this idle capital will flow after the Fed's decision.
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Source:CoinDesk
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