Polymarket: The probability of BTC returning to over $100,000 within a year has risen to 20%
2026-08-21 12:44:45
According to CoinMeta, market forecasts show that the probability of “BTC returning to over $100,000 within the year” on Polymarket has risen to 20%, an increase of 8% in 24 hours. Additionally, the probability of a price rise reaching $90,000 within the year has increased to 38%, with a 16% increase in 24 hours. According to the settlement rules, if by 23:59 on December 31, 2026 (ET), the highest price of either the 1-minute candlestick of Binance BTC or USDT reaches or exceeds the specified price, the market will be immediately settled as “yes”; otherwise, it will be settled as “no”. Market data indicates that Bitcoin has seen a significant increase for two consecutive days and briefly broke through $75,000 today. Its current market value is approximately $1.502 trillion, surpassing Meta to rank 13th in the global asset market value.
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Source:Internet
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